Winds and clouds increase. Winds gusting over 70 mph on the mountain tops with lift closures possible. Some light showers moving in as early as Thursday afternoon. Highs in the 40's on the mountain and low 50's at the base, but it will feel colder.
The latest model runs are trending with a faster start to the heavier precip, possibly moving in before midnight. The snow levels start around 8000 feet but may fall to 7000 feet by 10 p.m. We could see 3-6 inches above 7000 feet by Friday morning, and 6-11 inches above 8000 feet.
The strongest winds of the storm are possible with mountain top gusts over 90 mph. So expect lift closures. We are at the end of the first wave Friday morning and possibly some lighter precip Friday afternoon ahead of the 2nd wave of precip. Snow levels may drop to the base by mid-morning Friday, and then could rise just above the base to around 6500' Friday afternoon ahead of the next wave. We could see 1-3 inches at the base Friday, 3-5 inches above 7000 feet, and 4-6 inches above 8000 feet.
The 2nd wave may be more impressive than the first. Although the total precip amounts may be less than the first, there is colder air working in with the 2nd wave so higher snow ratios to boost the snowfall amounts. Snow levels may fall below the base by 10 p.m. We could see an additional 7-11 inches at the base, 11-15 inches above 7000 feet, and 15-18 inches above 8000 feet.
The winds on Saturday could still be gusty, especially in the morning. Gusts over 50 mph are possible so there could be delays in opening upper lifts. There is much colder air in place with highs only in the 20's on the upper mountain, and low 30's for the base. Lingering light snow showers are possible during the day that could bring 2-5 inches of additional snowfall.
After this storm the pattern looks to remain unsettled. We may get brushed by a system Monday but not expecting much precip. Then Thursday another storm that some models have just brushing us, but others bring it further South with a few inches of snow for the upper elevations. The temperatures warm next week into the 40's on the mountain and 50's at the base.
The pattern still looks like it could remain active through mid-month. Still watching a storm the weekend of the 15th.