For Wednesday have a system moving in that is weakening. By the time it reaches the Sierra we will only see light snow showers off and on through the day, diminishing Wednesday evening. Only expecting a coating up to an inch or two on the mountain, depending on where snow showers fall.
Highs in the 30s at the base and 20s on the mountain. Ridgetop winds gusting to 50+ mph which could affect some upper mountain lift operations.
Thursday - Saturday:
Thursday through the day on Saturday we should stay dry with the next storm staying off the coast. Highs in the 30s on the mountain, warming into the 40s at the base Friday into Saturday. We could have cloudy skies Thursday and then partly sunny into Saturday.
Winds increasing Saturday ahead of the next storm, with ridgetop gusts to 55+ mph. That could affect some upper mountain lift operations on Saturday.
Sunday - Monday Storm:
The latest forecast model runs show precipitation moving into the Sierra sometime between Sunday morning and afternoon. That should bring light-moderate snow to the mountain into Sunday night, and then lingering snow showers are possible Monday. The heavy precipitation may have a tough time pushing over the mountains.
The latest forecast models still show a large range of total precipitation amounts. For now, we will go with 4-11 inches of total snowfall possible on the mountain Sunday through Monday. Snow levels well below the base and highs only in the 20s on the mountain. The winds don't look strong Sunday into Monday.
Christmas Eve - Christmas Day:
Christmas Eve looks like it will be cold with highs in the 20s on the mountain. We could see a few scattered snow showers between systems with partly sunny skies.
Then for Christmas Day, we could see a weak system move through bringing light snow to the mountain.
Beyond a week, the long-range forecast models suggest we could stay in a cool but drier pattern into the first week of January. That doesn't mean we won't see any storm, but the pattern suggests we could see below-average precipitation chances.