Thursday - Saturday:
Thursday through the day on Saturday we have drier weather with some sun. Highs in the 30s on the mountain, warming into the 40s at the base Friday into Saturday. Winds increasing Saturday ahead of the next storm, with ridgetop gusts to 55+ mph. That could affect some upper mountain lift operations on Saturday.
The latest forecast model runs show precipitation moving into the Sierra sometime between Sunday morning and afternoon. That should bring light-moderate snow to the mountain Sunday into Sunday evening before tapering off. It's cold with all snow to the base. Winds coming down on Sunday.
The latest forecast model runs show a quarter to half an inch of total precipitation through Sunday night. That could bring us a fresh 2-5 inches at the base, and 3-7 inches on the mountain by Monday morning.
Monday a system may be dropping down the CA coast. It looks like it stays far enough west to keep us mainly dry. We could get brushed with a few snow showers. Highs continue to be in the 20s on the mountain and 30s at the base.
The next storm is approaching CA by Christmas Eve. Some forecast models show snow pushing in Christmas Eve with others waiting until the afternoon on Christmas Day. They also differ on precipitation amounts with this storm, with some showing only scattered snow showers and light accumulations while others show some heavier snow possible. We will continue to fine-tune the timing and snowfall forecast as we get closer.
The cold and unsettled pattern could last through the end of next week with the chance for snow showers on the mountain continuing.
Beyond a week, the long-range forecast models suggest we could stay in a cold but drier pattern into the first week of January. That doesn't mean we won't see any storms, but the pattern suggests we could see below-average precipitation chances.
We will be watching for any pattern changes that could bring bigger storms as we go into January.