We have partly cloudy skies today (Wednesday) with highs in the 40's in the upper elevations and 50's in the lower elevations. That continues into Thursday with increasing clouds. Ridge top wind gusts up to 30 mph today and 40+ mph for Thursday.
Strong Storm Fri-Sat
There is a strong atmospheric river that's going to take aim at CA. For the Tahoe region there won't be much forcing to push precip in on Thursdsay. For Friday we see the rain increase. We could see up to an inch of rain on Friday. Ridge top winds to 70+ mph and highs in the 40's. Snow levels rise to 11,000 feet by Friday night.
Later Friday night into Saturday morning as the jet stream and cold front approach and move through we will see the heaviest rain and snow. The latest model runs have snow levels at 10,000 feet at 5 am. dropping to 7,000 feet by 8 am. and to the base by 11 am. That is when we could see accumulations of heavy wet snow, mainly above 7000' before the cold front pushes the heaviest precip to our South by midday.
Saturday afternoon we could see scattered snow showers with snow levels dropping to lake level by evening. Winds stay strong through the day on Saturday. Expect possible upper mountain lift closures Fri-Sat.
In total we could see 0-1 inches of snow at the base by Saturday afternoon, 3-7 inches above 7,000 feet, and 6-10 inches above 8,000 feet.
We have a break Sunday into Monday with highs in the 40's Sunday and Monday into the 50's.
The next storm drops in for Tuesday with snow levels starting around 8k. We could see a few inches of snow on the mountain above 8,000 feet.
Another storm could dive in Wednesday into Thursday. This storm looks colder and a little wetter. We could see up to a foot of additional snowfall on the mountain. We will jump to watching these two back to back systems once we get through this big AR event this weekend. But we could see over a foot of snow on the mountain next week if the latest model runs stay the same over the next 6 days.
The long-range model runs show that active weather could continue into the 3rd week of April witih the chance for another quick hitting storm or two.