A Break Friday-Saturday, More Storms Possible Sunday thru Tuesday

Category: Weather
Snowfall Report:

The cold system that moved through Wednesday dropped 5 inches at the base and 9 inches on the upper mountain.  That brings the season total to 513 inches!

Thursday:

Thursday we have scattered snow showers with some peeks of sun. Highs in the 20's with ridgetop wind gusts to 30-40+ mph.  We could see another coating to an inch of snow.

Weekend Storm:

Friday and Saturday should be cold and dry with some sun. Highs in the 20's on the mountains to low 30's at lake level.

The next cold systems drop down from the north Saturday night into Sunday. This system could merge with moisture streaming in off the Pacific on Sunday.  The forecast models are struggling with where the cold front stalls and when the moisture streams into northern CA off the Pacific.  The difference is only scattered light snow showers Saturday night through Sunday night, or heavier snow moving in Sunday into Sunday night.

For now, taking the average of the forecast models.  We could see 2-5 inches of snow on the mountain through Sunday night.  We will watch the trend closely.  If the front stalls further south and the moisture streams in faster on Sunday, we could see higher snowfall amounts.

Storms Next Week:

Better agreement that moisture streams into Tahoe by Monday into Tuesday.  There is disagreement on the amount of moisture that pushes south into the Tahoe basin.  Taking the model average we could see 5-9 inches of snow on the mountain Monday into Tuesday.  If the moisture stream pushes further south into the Tahoe basin we could see more, so we will be keeping a close eye on that as well.

We could see a break Wednesday into Thursday next week with some sun and temperatures into the 30's on the mountain and 40's at the base.

We are expecting storms to return as early as next Friday the 1st of March.

Long-Range:

The storms are expected to continue through the first week of March.  These storms could have rising and falling snow levels on the mountain.  

We may see a drier pattern the 2nd week of March.

BA