5-15 Inches Possible Thursday night into Friday, 3-6 More Possible Sunday Night

Category: Weather
Today

Today we will have clouds and sun with highs in the 40's on the mountain to near 50 at the base.  

Tonight the winds will pick up with gusts to 70+ mph up top.

Thursday Night Storm

For Thursday we have increasing clouds and wind with ridge top winds picking up to 90+ mph.

Thursday night a strong cold front approaches with heavy snow ahead of and with the front, with lighter snow showers lingering into the day on Friday.

The snow levels are not an issue with this storm as they crash below the base Thursday evening. The latest model runs are finally in decent agreement on the total precipitation over the mountain. 

Based on a 24 hour drier trend on the models I have trimmed back the forecast by about 5 inches this morning. Updated forecast is for 5-10 inches at the base, and 10-15 inches on the mountain by Friday afternoon.

The Weekend

For the weekend  we clear out but with cold air is in place. High temperatures may only be in the 30's at the base and 20's on the upper mountain. 

The winds should die down Friday into Saturday, and then could pick up again Sunday ahead of the next storm.

Sunday Night Storm

It looks like the next storm will move through Sunday night into the day on Monday. This storm looks to have low snow levels as well.

The forecast models are in better agreement today that only up to a half inch of liquid will fall over the mountain. With that we could see additional 3-6 inches of snow by Monday afternoon.

Long-Range

We could see another cold system move in Wed-Thu next week. It could be a little wetter, more in line with the Thursday night storm.

Then high pressure builds in with drier and possibly a little warmer weather for the weekend of the 27th.

Long-range ensemble runs do show the ridge retrograding away from the West Coast again the week of the 29th. We will have to see how deep the trough digs, but maybe we could see another storm around the first of February.

-BA

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